SOLARIS会不会消亡

briangao

Don\'t jump into the conclusion too soon. In history, most of the people who claim that they could predict the future failed miserably. A lot of people predicted that Unix was going to die soon ten years ago when Linux took on the enterprise computing. But it didn’t happen. Oracle CEO Larry Ellison predicted in the 90s that network PC was going to prevail and invested a lot of money in it. It didn’t happen. He pushed for ASP model in the late 90s and that didn’t happen either. Novell was so popular in the 90’s but it was defeated by Microsoft windows. Sybase was the predominant database in the 90s but lost most of its ground to Oracle. There are so many examples in history which leads me to believe that the only predictable thing in IT industry is the unpredictable. With the way Sun and Solaris is going such as opensource etc, I don’t think Solaris is going to die. But I could be wrong. The only thing you can do to protect yourself is diversification. Don’t hang on one tree. Master a few skills instead of just one. Don’t fell in love with any technology. Fell in love with the dynamic and fast changing nature of the IT industry. Be excited about the fact that you always have something new to learn everyday and you will never get bored. If one day that you started to feel seriously that IT is changing too fast and you can’t keep up with its pace, it is time to quit and do something else.

briangao

如果Sun的硬件性能没有很大改进的话，这只是迟早的事情，现在x86的性能太强了。

Sun is commited to improve Solaris X86. Sun also has its own line of X86 hardware with can run both Solaris and Linux. A few days ago, Sun teamed up with Microsoft to run windows on its X86 hardware. It is a dynamic game.